{"rules":"Written on the 1st of each month from the index own 30-day mean +/- 1 sd; scored 30 days later; append-only.","rounds":[{"month":"2026-09","written_utc":"2026-09-23 04:40","engine":"4.4.2","predictions":[{"index":"world_tension","name":"World Tension","claim":"World Tension will average between 53 and 61 next month","lo":53,"hi":61,"basis":"current 59, 30-day mean 56.8, 1 sd 4.0","result":null},{"index":"energy_security","name":"Energy Security","claim":"Energy Security will average between 32 and 48 next month","lo":32,"hi":48,"basis":"current 47, 30-day mean 40.2, 1 sd 7.7","result":null},{"index":"food_security","name":"Food Security","claim":"Food Security will average between 46 and 56 next month","lo":46,"hi":56,"basis":"current 59, 30-day mean 51.4, 1 sd 5.0","result":null},{"index":"shipping_stress","name":"Shipping Stress","claim":"Shipping Stress will average between 30 and 41 next month","lo":30,"hi":41,"basis":"current 47, 30-day mean 35.4, 1 sd 5.6","result":null},{"index":"currency_stress","name":"Currency Stress","claim":"Currency Stress will average between 15 and 17 next month","lo":15,"hi":17,"basis":"current 19, 30-day mean 16.2, 1 sd 0.9","result":null},{"index":"gold_silver","name":"Gold & Silver Fear","claim":"Gold & Silver Fear will average between 55 and 59 next month","lo":55,"hi":59,"basis":"current 55, 30-day mean 56.8, 1 sd 2.2","result":null}],"scored":false}]}