# World Tension Meter — llms.txt
> Independent, free, open observatory of geopolitical risk. Twelve daily 0-100 indexes computed by our own engine from public sources, open method, open data (CC BY 4.0), permanent record since 2026-03-23.

## What this site is
World Tension Meter (WTM) publishes the World Tension Index (conflict 25%, energy 20%, trade 20%, finance 20%, media 15% plus a capped shock overlay and fear physics), eight further indexes (Food Security, Currency Stress, Shipping Stress, Sanctions Pressure, Energy Security, Gold & Silver Fear, Crypto Fear & Greed, AI Risk) and three derived indexes (Inflation Pressure, Supply Chain Risk, Market Fear). Market data updates every 10 minutes; a full analysis of 40+ free public news feeds, public attention data and public social signals runs at 00:10 and 12:10 UTC. Every day is appended to a permanent ledger; every month, every index gets a locked plain-English story. Engine v4.4.2. No third-party provider is load-bearing; language models only classify headlines and write summaries from computed facts, never numbers.

## Key pages
- Live index: https://worldtensionmeter.com/
- Organization: https://worldtensionmeter.com/organization/
- Independence & funding: https://worldtensionmeter.com/independence/
- Methodology: https://worldtensionmeter.com/methodology.html
- Whitepaper v4 (PDF): https://worldtensionmeter.com/wtm-methodology-whitepaper-v4.pdf
- Data portal: https://worldtensionmeter.com/data/
- Open API v1 (free, no key): https://worldtensionmeter.com/api/v1/
- Lifetime archive: https://worldtensionmeter.com/history/
- Conflict roster & lifecycle: https://worldtensionmeter.com/conflicts/
- System status: https://worldtensionmeter.com/status/
- Changelog: https://worldtensionmeter.com/changelog/
- Full guide for language models: https://worldtensionmeter.com/llms-full.txt

## Countries (197 pages, one map)
Every country has a permanent tension-score page with its own news pulse: https://worldtensionmeter.com/countries/ · pages at https://worldtensionmeter.com/country/<slug>/ (e.g. /country/iran/) · data: https://worldtensionmeter.com/api/v1/countries

## Index pages
- https://worldtensionmeter.com/world-tension/
- https://worldtensionmeter.com/food-security/
- https://worldtensionmeter.com/currency-stress/
- https://worldtensionmeter.com/shipping-stress/
- https://worldtensionmeter.com/sanctions/
- https://worldtensionmeter.com/energy-security/
- https://worldtensionmeter.com/gold-silver/
- https://worldtensionmeter.com/crypto/
- https://worldtensionmeter.com/ai-risk/
- https://worldtensionmeter.com/inflation-pressure/
- https://worldtensionmeter.com/supply-chain-risk/
- https://worldtensionmeter.com/market-fear/

## AI Risk Index (first daily numeric AI risk score, published since 2026-09-17)
Daily 0-100 score of the risk that AI causes serious harm or acts beyond human control, plus seven sub-indexes (misuse, capability, regulation, military, safety, economy, infrastructure), an incidents counter and country attribution. Versioned method: https://worldtensionmeter.com/ai-risk/methodology/ · Live JSON: https://worldtensionmeter.com/api/ai_risk.json · Badge: https://worldtensionmeter.com/ai-risk/embed/

## How to cite
World Tension Meter (2026). <index name>, daily scores. worldtensionmeter.com. CC BY 4.0. Machine-readable: https://worldtensionmeter.com/api/v1/today

## Zones
0-39 Calm · 40-54 Stable · 55-67 Moderate · 68-77 High Tension · 78-100 Extreme (Crypto uses Fear/Greed labels).

Updated 2026-09-21. Informational only, not advice.

## API v1 (free, CORS, cached, CC BY 4.0)
- GET /api/v1/ — endpoint list, index keys, zones, citation
- GET /api/v1/today — every index now, derived indexes, alerts, AI Risk headlines, daily brief
- GET /api/v1/index/{key} — one index: live value + last 90 days
- GET /api/v1/history?index=&from=&to=&format=json|csv — daily scores, max 366 days per call
- GET /api/v1/day/{YYYY-MM-DD} — every index, region and factor on one day
- GET /api/v1/monthly?index=&year= — monthly averages with each month's story
- GET /api/v1/conflicts — roster with lifecycle, retired list, candidates for review
- GET /api/v1/status — engine version, freshness, ledger size, database health
- GET /api/v1/countries — all 197 countries: score, zone, 30-day headline counts
- GET /api/v1/country/{slug} — one country: score, 90-day series, monthly roll-ups, 30-day news pulse
- GET /api/v1/ai-risk — AI Risk score, seven sub-indexes, incidents, countries, series
- GET /api/v1/ai-incidents — the permanent AI incident record, newest first
Index keys: world_tension food_security currency_stress shipping_stress sanctions energy_security gold_silver crypto_fg ai_risk inflation_pressure supply_chain_risk market_fear

## Method in brief
1. Every headline in our corpus is scored for tension by keyword tiers (extreme +12, high +6, moderate +3 on a base of 20; named actor +8; nuclear +15; oil spike +10; clamped 5-99); a language model refines the classification (blend 60/40) with automatic keyword fallback.
2. Coverage shares (tension, trade disruption, sanctions) are ranked as percentiles against our own history and blended with public attention percentiles (own 0.45, attention 0.40, social 0.15).
3. Five factors are combined (conflict 25%, energy 20%, trade 20%, finance 20%, media 15%); event shock adds up to +18 with half-life decay; fear physics applies 85% of upward moves at once and limits falls to 3 points per day.
4. Market indexes: Food = wheat 45/corn 35/rice 20 vs own history; Currency = dollar-index deviation 50 + major-pair stress 50; Shipping = freight index 60 + coverage 40; Sanctions = coverage 50 + sanctioned-currency stress 30 + regimes 20; Energy = Brent 40/gas 30/oil vol 15/gold-oil 15; Gold&Silver = metals 50/VIX 30/10y 20; Crypto = momentum 30+25, volatility 20, dominance 25, blended 80/20 with an independent public sentiment index.
5. AI Risk = AI-risk share 40% + top-8 headline severity 40% + attention on AI-safety topics 20%, EMA 0.5.
6. Derived: Inflation Pressure = energy 35/food 25/shipping 20/currency 20; Supply Chain Risk = shipping 40/energy 25/sanctions 20/conflict factor 15; Market Fear = Gold&Silver 50 + (100 - Crypto F&G) 50. Divergence alerts at 20 points (headlines vs markets) or 15 points from an index's 30-day average.
7. Conflicts: recognised by own terms; trend = last 30 days vs prior 30 (1.25x escalating, 0.75x cooling); dormant after 30 quiet days, retired after 120 (archived, auto-revive); new conflicts surfaced as candidates for human review.
8. Governance: versioned engine, dated changelog, append-only ledger, locked monthly stories, estimated fields flagged. Scores on or before 2026-07-23 came from engine v1 (higher calibration).

## Organization
Independent founder team, self-funded, no ads, no sponsors, no data sales, no provider dependence. Statement: https://worldtensionmeter.com/independence/ · Contact: contact@worldtensionmeter.com