Global Tension: 63Active Conflicts: 23Escalating: 0Energy: 50Food: 62AI Risk: 34
Live2026-09-21 05:10 UTC
Indexes › World Tension Index

World Tension Index

WTM Global
63 Moderate 24h 7d

Tension Gauge

calm ← → extreme

Crypto Fear & Greed

ESCALATION WATCH

What the score means

same scale on every index
Calm
0-39
Background noise. A normal week for prices and markets.
Stable
40-54
Some friction, nothing spreading. Watch, don’t act.
Moderate
55-67
Stress across several signals. Energy and shipping usually move first.
High Tension
68-77
A live crisis is moving oil, gold and freight. Bills follow within weeks.
Extreme
78-100
Major war or shock. Expect price spikes and disruption.

Today in one look

Engine update 2026-09-21 05:10 UTC

Daily brief

The daily index is sitting at 63 today, which keeps us in the Moderate zone after going up by just 1 point. Trade is the main thing driving the score right now, alongside oil at 99.1 and gold at 4412. For everyday life, a steady number like this means prices, deliveries, and routine expenses should stay pretty familiar for now.

Written from the numbers the engine computed this cycle — every figure above is the engine's own.

AI Risk Index34

Calm. AI news is routine — product launches and policy talk, no safety incidents of note.

Read the AI Risk Index →

What it adds up to

derived from the indexes above · engine v4.4.2

Inflation Pressure Index45

Stable. +8.8 vs 30d Mild upward pressure on prices from energy, food and freight. Nothing sharp.

See what is inside →

Supply Chain Risk Index40

Stable. +5.1 vs 30d Minor friction in freight, energy or sanctions. Plan normally.

See what is inside →

Market Fear Index48

Stable. -2.1 vs 30d Markets are steady with light hedging.

See what is inside →

Country tension map

103 countries in the news · live
Afghanistan · 33 Calm Albania · 7 Calm Algeria · 11 Calm Andorra · 7 Calm Angola · 11 Calm Antigua and Barbuda · 9 Calm Argentina · 25 Calm Armenia · 7 Calm Australia · 24 Calm Austria · 8 Calm Azerbaijan · 7 Calm Bahamas · 9 Calm Bahrain · 10 Calm Bangladesh · 9 Calm Barbados · 9 Calm Belarus · 27 Calm Belgium · 11 Calm Belize · 9 Calm Benin · 11 Calm Bhutan · 9 Calm Bolivia · 12 Calm Bosnia and Herzegovina · 7 Calm Botswana · 11 Calm Brazil · 25 Calm Brunei · 9 Calm Bulgaria · 7 Calm Burkina Faso · 15 Calm Burundi · 11 Calm Cambodia · 9 Calm Cameroon · 15 Calm Canada · 20 Calm Cape Verde · 11 Calm Central African Republic · 11 Calm Chad · 11 Calm Chile · 11 Calm China · 37 Calm Colombia · 14 Calm Comoros · 11 Calm Republic of the Congo · 11 Calm Costa Rica · 9 Calm Croatia · 7 Calm Cuba · 12 Calm Cyprus · 8 Calm Czechia · 9 Calm DR Congo · 23 Calm Denmark · 21 Calm Djibouti · 28 Calm Dominica · 9 Calm Dominican Republic · 9 Calm Ecuador · 14 Calm Egypt · 19 Calm El Salvador · 9 Calm Equatorial Guinea · 12 Calm Eritrea · 24 Calm Estonia · 7 Calm Ethiopia · 15 Calm Fiji · 9 Calm Finland · 8 Calm France · 30 Calm Gabon · 11 Calm Gambia · 11 Calm Georgia · 7 Calm Germany · 25 Calm Ghana · 11 Calm Greece · 7 Calm Grenada · 9 Calm Guatemala · 9 Calm Guinea · 11 Calm Guinea-Bissau · 11 Calm Guyana · 9 Calm Haiti · 22 Calm Honduras · 9 Calm Hungary · 8 Calm Iceland · 8 Calm India · 29 Calm Indonesia · 15 Calm Iran · 66 Moderate Iraq · 18 Calm Ireland · 8 Calm Israel · 59 Moderate Italy · 18 Calm Ivory Coast · 11 Calm Jamaica · 9 Calm Japan · 28 Calm Jordan · 10 Calm Kazakhstan · 13 Calm Kenya · 11 Calm Kuwait · 10 Calm Kyrgyzstan · 9 Calm Laos · 9 Calm Latvia · 24 Calm Lebanon · 49 Stable Lesotho · 11 Calm Liberia · 11 Calm Libya · 11 Calm Liechtenstein · 7 Calm Lithuania · 7 Calm Luxembourg · 7 Calm North Macedonia · 7 Calm Madagascar · 11 Calm Malawi · 34 Calm Malaysia · 9 Calm Maldives · 9 Calm Mali · 15 Calm Malta · 7 Calm Mauritania · 11 Calm Mauritius · 11 Calm Mexico · 18 Calm Moldova · 8 Calm Monaco · 7 Calm Mongolia · 9 Calm Montenegro · 7 Calm Morocco · 11 Calm Mozambique · 11 Calm Myanmar · 14 Calm Namibia · 11 Calm Nauru · 9 Calm Nepal · 10 Calm Netherlands · 17 Calm New Zealand · 9 Calm Nicaragua · 9 Calm Niger · 15 Calm Nigeria · 30 Calm North Korea · 33 Calm Norway · 8 Calm Oman · 16 Calm Pakistan · 50 Stable Palestine · 41 Stable Panama · 13 Calm Papua New Guinea · 9 Calm Paraguay · 9 Calm Peru · 9 Calm Philippines · 32 Calm Poland · 34 Calm Portugal · 8 Calm Qatar · 33 Calm Romania · 8 Calm Russia · 60 Moderate Rwanda · 15 Calm Saint Kitts and Nevis · 9 Calm Saint Lucia · 9 Calm Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 9 Calm San Marino · 7 Calm Sao Tome and Principe · 11 Calm Saudi Arabia · 46 Stable Senegal · 11 Calm Serbia · 16 Calm Seychelles · 11 Calm Sierra Leone · 11 Calm Singapore · 9 Calm Slovakia · 8 Calm Slovenia · 7 Calm Solomon Islands · 9 Calm Somalia · 19 Calm South Africa · 18 Calm South Korea · 36 Calm South Sudan · 11 Calm Spain · 19 Calm Sri Lanka · 9 Calm Sudan · 21 Calm Suriname · 9 Calm Eswatini · 11 Calm Sweden · 9 Calm Switzerland · 13 Calm Syria · 32 Calm Taiwan · 29 Calm Tajikistan · 9 Calm Tanzania · 19 Calm Thailand · 12 Calm Timor-Leste · 9 Calm Togo · 11 Calm Tonga · 9 Calm Trinidad and Tobago · 9 Calm Tunisia · 14 Calm Turkey · 39 Calm Turkmenistan · 9 Calm Uganda · 11 Calm Ukraine · 59 Moderate United Arab Emirates · 22 Calm United Kingdom · 29 Calm United States · 57 Moderate Uruguay · 9 Calm Uzbekistan · 9 Calm Vanuatu · 9 Calm Vatican City · 7 Calm Venezuela · 31 Calm Vietnam · 9 Calm Yemen · 59 Moderate Zambia · 11 Calm Zimbabwe · 11 Calm Kosovo · 13 Calm
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Calm 0-39Stable 40-54Moderate 55-67High 68-77Extreme 78+No headlines

Tension Indexes

#IndexScoreLevel 24h7d30dLast 30 days

Active Conflicts

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#ConflictRegionType StatusEvents 30dFatalities 30dSince

Regional Tension

Details →

Understanding World Tension Meter

WorldTensionMeter combines conflict monitoring, commodity markets, financial stress and global media coverage into one daily score — a macro-risk thermometer for the global economy. Full analysis runs twice daily, market data refreshes every ten minutes, and everything on this site is free with no account required.

Data collection

Every cycle pulls from public data sources across four worlds: our own global news monitoring (40+ sources), event-level conflict records, commodity and financial market feeds, and major world news wires.

Scoring engine

Each signal is normalized to a 0–100 scale against its own multi-year history, so a reading of 70 means today genuinely ranks in the top third of its own multi-year history — not that a keyword list fired.

Published record

Scores publish twice daily at 00:10 and 12:10 UTC. Every daily value is appended to a permanent ledger and never edited, building a historical archive you can audit on the History pages.

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