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Reading the Index
The World Tension Score is a composite geopolitical risk index aggregating five independently measured signals — armed conflict, energy stress, trade disruption, financial pressure and media coverage — into a single 0–100 number.
A rising score has historically preceded increases in gold and oil prices, widening credit spreads and elevated market volatility, because the same geopolitical shocks drive both the score and those markets.
Unlike single-variable indicators such as the VIX (equity volatility only) or the oil price alone, the score is difficult to move with one noisy input: its five factors come from separate data worlds, so sustained elevation means multiple independent stress channels are elevated simultaneously.