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Belarus Tension Score

building record · 49 days on file

Live 0–100 tension reading for Belarus, built by our own engine from 19,188 world headlines in the last 30 days. Refreshed every 10 minutes; a fresh headline count twice a day.

26
Calm
7d -15 · 30d -11

Where Belarus stands

#54 of 197 countries today, #17 of 49 in Europe (region score 53). Tension is easing this week.

Same 0–100 scale and zones as the World Tension Index.

Belarus news pulse

24 headlines in 30 days · newest first
Emotional reunions as residents flee Ukraine’s Oleshky during truce
France24 · 2 November 2026 conflictgeopolitics
39 · Moderate
'Consolidation of power': Bulgaria elects Iliana Iotova as first woman president
France24 · 2 November 2026 conflictenergygeopolitics
35 · Moderate
Latvia reports brief airspace intrusion near Russia, Belarus borders
Straits Times · 2 November 2026 tradegeopolitics
31 · Low
Residents of Russian-controlled Ukrainian town arrive in Belarus
CNBC World · 1 November 2026 conflictgeopolitics
51 · Moderate
Residents evacuated from Russia-occupied city back in Ukraine
CBS World · 1 November 2026 tradegeopolitics
39 · Moderate
US Clears Boeing Jet Sales to Belarus as Trump Eases Sanctions on Lukashenko - UNITED24 Media
Google News · 1 November 2026 tradegeopolitics
35 · Moderate
Residents from Russian-occupied Oleshky reunite with families after evacuation operation
France24 · 1 November 2026 geopolitics
31 · Low
Evacuees reunite with family at the Ukrainian-Belarusian border after fleeing Oleshky
ABC Intl · 1 November 2026 geopolitics
31 · Low
Emotional reunions with loved ones for Oleshky evacuees
BBC World · 1 November 2026 conflictgeopolitics
23 · Low
Evacuees fleeing Oleshky reunite with family at the Ukrainian-Belarusian border - PBS
GN Conflict · 1 November 2026 geopolitics
23 · Low
Hundreds from Russian-occupied Oleshky land in Belarus en route to Ukraine
Al Jazeera · 31 October 2026 conflicttradegeopolitics
51 · Moderate
Residents leave Russian-occupied Oleshky in evacuation operation
France24 · 31 October 2026 conflictgeopolitics
39 · Moderate
Civilians from war-ravaged Oleshky arrive in Belarus during Melania Trump-brokered ceasefire - NBC News
GN Conflict · 31 October 2026 conflict
32 · Low
Residents of Russian-controlled Ukrainian town Oleshky arrive in Belarus
Straits Times · 31 October 2026 geopolitics
31 · Low
Chofetz Chaim’s yeshiva reopens for students in Belarus for first time since WWII
Times Israel · 31 October 2026 geopolitics
23 · Low
What the rift within the Tsikhanouski family means for the Belarusian opposition in exile
DW World · 31 October 2026 geopolitics
20 · Low
What the rift within the Tsikhanouski family means for the Belarusian opposition in exile - DW.com
Google News · 31 October 2026 geopolitics
20 · Low
German police arrest two suspected of planning sabotage attacks for Russia, Spiegel says
Straits Times · 29 October 2026 conflicttradegeopolitics
43 · Moderate
England's Bodhana Sivanandan becomes International Master at age of 11, breaks 38-year-old record
Hindu Intl · 24 October 2026 geopolitics
31 · Low
Belarus bars entry to some goods from Latvia
Straits Times · 20 October 2026 geopolitics
31 · Low
Belarus EU Sanctions Renewal – Making Love To a Despot Again? - Visegrad Insight
Google News · 15 October 2026 trade
37 · Moderate
EU Lifts Belarus-Related Sanctions on Russian Billionaire Gutseriev – RFE/RL - The Moscow Times
GN Sanctions · 8 October 2026 tradegeopolitics
40 · Moderate
Sanctions Relief Returns Belarusian Potash to US Ports as Prices Fall - cruxinvestor.com
Google News · 6 October 2026 trade
32 · Low
Sabalenka, Rybakina handed shock defeats at China Open tennis
Al Jazeera · 4 October 2026 geopolitics
12 · Minimal

Every story the engine read that names Belarus, its capital or its leaders. Links go to the original outlet; the badge is the engine’s own 0–100 tension weight. This list is what moves the number above.

What is driving Belarus’s tension score

last 30 days
  • 32 headlines in 30 days — 0.17% of everything the engine read, up sharply on the previous 30 days (20).
  • 25% of those were violent (attacks, strikes, casualties) and 34% scored as high-tension stories.
  • Conflicts on the roster: none. Belarus is not a party to any conflict our engine tracks right now.
  • Region: Europe reads 53 today; it carries 15% of this score.

Read it like this. Attention (how much the world is talking about Belarus) is the biggest input at 30%. Violence and high-tension share tell you what kind of talk it is. A country can be loud and calm — an election, a summit — or quiet and dangerous. The mix is the point.

Belarus tension month by month

average score, headline counts
MonthAvg scoreZoneHeadlinesViolentDays
November 202629.8Calm1405
October 202638.0Calm251331
September 202631.2Calm13813

Record for Belarus began on 18 September 2026. Nothing is revised after the fact.

How the Belarus score is built

Five inputs, fixed weights. Attention 30% (share of world coverage), violence 25% and high-tension share 15% (what kind of coverage), roster conflicts 15%, and the Europe region score 15%. A momentum nudge (+6 / −4) rewards a country whose coverage is accelerating or fading.

Same physics as the world score. The number rises 85% of the way to its new level at once and falls no faster than 3 points a day — fear arrives fast and leaves slowly.

No third-party index inside. Every count comes from the 41 public news feeds our engine reads itself; the full method is on the methodology page. Data is free under CC BY 4.0 via the API.

Questions people ask about Belarus

Is Belarus in a war right now?

Not on our roster. Belarus is not a party to any tracked conflict; the engine flags new candidates automatically when coverage repeats.

Is tension in Belarus rising or falling?

Easing: down 15 points in 7 days.

How does Belarus compare with the rest of Europe?

Below its region: Belarus reads 26 against 53 for Europe, ranking #17 of 49 there.

Keep exploring

Belarus and world tension: the long view

evergreen · World Tension Meter team

Russia’s forward base. Belarus lets Moscow stage forces and station nuclear weapons on its soil, and it presses migrants against the Polish border. Its score tracks the Ukraine war and its own repression.

What our engine watches in Belarus

  • Military deployments and nuclear weapons
  • Border pressure on Poland and Lithuania
  • Sanctions on its potash and industry

Indexes to follow: Sanctions Pressure · Food Security.