Live2026-11-05 16:20 UTC
Home › Regions › Middle East

Middle East tension today

Updated 2026-11-05 16:20 UTC
78
Extreme
-0.2 vs its 30-day average of 78.2

What this means

Crisis conditions. This region is a main driver of world tension.

Covers the Gulf, the Levant, Iran, Israel and Yemen, and the energy chokepoints between them. Key driver: US-Israel-Iran War, Yemeni Civil War.

Tracked conflicts in this region

from our own corpus
ConflictTrendHeadlines / 30dLast activity
US-Israel-Iran War
Major War · since 2026		ACTIVE12432026-11-05
Yemeni Civil War
Minor War · since 2015		ESCALATING2672026-11-05
Middle East Regional Conflict
Major War · since 2023		ACTIVE2482026-11-05
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Major War · since 1948		ACTIVE1552026-11-03
Syrian Conflict
Minor War · since 2011		ESCALATING382026-10-28
Kurdish Nationalist Conflicts
Conflict · since 1984		ESCALATING62026-10-25

Conflicts go dormant after 30 quiet days and retire after 120; candidates are surfaced for review on the conflicts page.

Month by month

MonthAverageLowHighZone
March 202699.09999Extreme
April 202699.09999Extreme
May 202699.09999Extreme
June 202698.99899Extreme
July 202688.96399Extreme
August 202660.25663Moderate
September 202663.15768Moderate
October 202674.96687High Tension
November 202685.27890Extreme

Last 60 days

DateScoreZoneChange
2026-09-0759Moderate
2026-09-0860Moderate+1
2026-09-0960Moderate0
2026-09-1060Moderate0
2026-09-1161Moderate+1
2026-09-1261Moderate0
2026-09-1361Moderate0
2026-09-1463Moderate+2
2026-09-1562Moderate-1
2026-09-1663Moderate+1
2026-09-1762Moderate-1
2026-09-1866Moderate+4
2026-09-1965Moderate-1
2026-09-2067Moderate+2
2026-09-2167Moderate0
2026-09-2266Moderate-1
2026-09-2365Moderate-1
2026-09-2468High Tension+3
2026-09-2568High Tension0
2026-09-2667Moderate-1
2026-09-2767Moderate0
2026-09-2868High Tension+1
2026-09-2968High Tension0
2026-09-3067Moderate-1
2026-10-0167Moderate0
2026-10-0266Moderate-1
2026-10-0367Moderate+1
2026-10-0467Moderate0
2026-10-0567Moderate0
2026-10-0667Moderate0
2026-10-0767Moderate0
2026-10-0868High Tension+1
2026-10-0967Moderate-1
2026-10-1067Moderate0
2026-10-1167Moderate0
2026-10-1267Moderate0
2026-10-1367Moderate0
2026-10-1467Moderate0
2026-10-1567Moderate0
2026-10-1667Moderate0
2026-10-1778Extreme+11
2026-10-1882Extreme+4
2026-10-1982Extreme0
2026-10-2081Extreme-1
2026-10-2180Extreme-1
2026-10-2280Extreme0
2026-10-2381Extreme+1
2026-10-2480Extreme-1
2026-10-2587Extreme+7
2026-10-2687Extreme0
2026-10-2786Extreme-1
2026-10-2886Extreme0
2026-10-2986Extreme0
2026-10-3087Extreme+1
2026-10-3186Extreme-1
2026-11-0185Extreme-1
2026-11-0287Extreme+2
2026-11-0390Extreme+3
2026-11-0486Extreme-4
2026-11-0578Extreme-8

How the regional score works

Built from the roster and the world score. Each region starts from its tracked conflicts (major wars weigh most, escalating ones add more) and is blended 55/45 with the World Tension score, so a quiet region still feels a global shock. Conflicts are recognised in our own news corpus; no third-party provider is involved.

Machine-readable: /api/v1/day/{date} (field regions.middle_east) · all regions · conflict roster · CC BY 4.0