Middle East tension today
Updated 2026-09-21 06:00 UTCWhat this means
Active conflicts are shaping coverage and prices. Worth watching supply routes that pass through here.
Covers the Gulf, the Levant, Iran, Israel and Yemen, and the energy chokepoints between them. Key driver: US-Israel-Iran War, Middle East Regional Conflict.
Tracked conflicts in this region
from our own corpus| Conflict | Trend | Headlines / 30d | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|
| US-Israel-Iran War Major War · since 2026 | ACTIVE | 327 | 2026-09-21 |
| Middle East Regional Conflict Major War · since 2023 | ACTIVE | 98 | 2026-09-21 |
| Yemeni Civil War Minor War · since 2015 | ACTIVE | 83 | 2026-09-21 |
| Israel-Palestine Conflict Major War · since 1948 | ACTIVE | 27 | 2026-09-21 |
| Syrian Conflict Minor War · since 2011 | ACTIVE | 6 | 2026-09-19 |
| Kurdish Nationalist Conflicts Conflict · since 1984 | ACTIVE | 1 | 2026-09-17 |
Conflicts go dormant after 30 quiet days and retire after 120; candidates are surfaced for review on the conflicts page.
Month by month
| Month | Average | Low | High | Zone |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 2026 | 99.0 | 99 | 99 | Extreme |
| April 2026 | 99.0 | 99 | 99 | Extreme |
| May 2026 | 99.0 | 99 | 99 | Extreme |
| June 2026 | 98.9 | 98 | 99 | Extreme |
| July 2026 | 88.9 | 63 | 99 | Extreme |
| August 2026 | 60.2 | 56 | 63 | Moderate |
| September 2026 | 61.4 | 57 | 67 | Moderate |
Last 60 days
| Date | Score | Zone | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | 65 | Moderate | |
| 2026-07-25 | 65 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 66 | Moderate | +1 |
| 2026-07-27 | 65 | Moderate | -1 |
| 2026-07-28 | 64 | Moderate | -1 |
| 2026-07-29 | 65 | Moderate | +1 |
| 2026-07-30 | 64 | Moderate | -1 |
| 2026-07-31 | 63 | Moderate | -1 |
| 2026-08-01 | 62 | Moderate | -1 |
| 2026-08-02 | 63 | Moderate | +1 |
| 2026-08-03 | 63 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | 63 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | 62 | Moderate | -1 |
| 2026-08-06 | 61 | Moderate | -1 |
| 2026-08-07 | 61 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | 60 | Moderate | -1 |
| 2026-08-09 | 61 | Moderate | +1 |
| 2026-08-10 | 63 | Moderate | +2 |
| 2026-08-11 | 62 | Moderate | -1 |
| 2026-08-12 | 61 | Moderate | -1 |
| 2026-08-13 | 60 | Moderate | -1 |
| 2026-08-14 | 58 | Moderate | -2 |
| 2026-08-15 | 59 | Moderate | +1 |
| 2026-08-16 | 60 | Moderate | +1 |
| 2026-08-17 | 60 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | 63 | Moderate | +3 |
| 2026-08-19 | 62 | Moderate | -1 |
| 2026-08-20 | 62 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | 61 | Moderate | -1 |
| 2026-08-22 | 60 | Moderate | -1 |
| 2026-08-23 | 58 | Moderate | -2 |
| 2026-08-24 | 59 | Moderate | +1 |
| 2026-08-25 | 58 | Moderate | -1 |
| 2026-08-26 | 58 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | 57 | Moderate | -1 |
| 2026-08-28 | 57 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | 58 | Moderate | +1 |
| 2026-08-30 | 56 | Moderate | -2 |
| 2026-08-31 | 57 | Moderate | +1 |
| 2026-09-01 | 57 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | 59 | Moderate | +2 |
| 2026-09-03 | 59 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | 59 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | 59 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 59 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | 59 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-09-08 | 60 | Moderate | +1 |
| 2026-09-09 | 60 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-09-10 | 60 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-09-11 | 61 | Moderate | +1 |
| 2026-09-12 | 61 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 61 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 63 | Moderate | +2 |
| 2026-09-15 | 62 | Moderate | -1 |
| 2026-09-16 | 63 | Moderate | +1 |
| 2026-09-17 | 62 | Moderate | -1 |
| 2026-09-18 | 66 | Moderate | +4 |
| 2026-09-19 | 65 | Moderate | -1 |
| 2026-09-20 | 67 | Moderate | +2 |
| 2026-09-21 | 67 | Moderate | 0 |
How the regional score works
Built from the roster and the world score. Each region starts from its tracked conflicts (major wars weigh most, escalating ones add more) and is blended 55/45 with the World Tension score, so a quiet region still feels a global shock. Conflicts are recognised in our own news corpus; no third-party provider is involved.
Machine-readable: /api/v1/day/{date} (field regions.middle_east) · all regions · conflict roster · CC BY 4.0