Asia-Pacific tension today
Updated 2026-11-05 11:40 UTC45
Stable
-7.7 vs its 30-day average of 52.7
What this means
Background tension only. Tracked conflicts are contained.
Covers the Korean peninsula, the Taiwan Strait, South Asia and Myanmar. Key driver: No active tracked conflicts.
Tracked conflicts in this region
from our own corpus| Conflict | Trend | Headlines / 30d | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afghan Conflict Minor War · since 1978 | DORMANT | 22 | 2026-09-27 |
| Myanmar Civil War Major War · since 1948 | DORMANT | 14 | 2026-09-30 |
| Kashmir Conflict Conflict · since 1947 | DORMANT | 6 | 2026-09-17 |
| Insurgencies in Pakistan Conflict · since 2004 | DORMANT | 3 | 2026-09-18 |
Conflicts go dormant after 30 quiet days and retire after 120; candidates are surfaced for review on the conflicts page.
Month by month
| Month | Average | Low | High | Zone |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 2026 | 70.0 | 67 | 71 | High Tension |
| April 2026 | 67.9 | 64 | 70 | High Tension |
| May 2026 | 66.9 | 64 | 70 | Moderate |
| June 2026 | 64.4 | 60 | 68 | Moderate |
| July 2026 | 63.8 | 58 | 70 | Moderate |
| August 2026 | 55.3 | 51 | 58 | Moderate |
| September 2026 | 56.0 | 52 | 58 | Moderate |
| October 2026 | 54.7 | 43 | 58 | Moderate |
| November 2026 | 45.0 | 42 | 48 | Stable |
Last 60 days
| Date | Score | Zone | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | 54 | Stable | |
| 2026-09-08 | 55 | Moderate | +1 |
| 2026-09-09 | 55 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-09-10 | 55 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-09-11 | 56 | Moderate | +1 |
| 2026-09-12 | 56 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 56 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 58 | Moderate | +2 |
| 2026-09-15 | 57 | Moderate | -1 |
| 2026-09-16 | 58 | Moderate | +1 |
| 2026-09-17 | 57 | Moderate | -1 |
| 2026-09-18 | 56 | Moderate | -1 |
| 2026-09-19 | 55 | Moderate | -1 |
| 2026-09-20 | 58 | Moderate | +3 |
| 2026-09-21 | 57 | Moderate | -1 |
| 2026-09-22 | 56 | Moderate | -1 |
| 2026-09-23 | 55 | Moderate | -1 |
| 2026-09-24 | 58 | Moderate | +3 |
| 2026-09-25 | 58 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-09-26 | 58 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 57 | Moderate | -1 |
| 2026-09-28 | 58 | Moderate | +1 |
| 2026-09-29 | 58 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-09-30 | 57 | Moderate | -1 |
| 2026-10-01 | 57 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-10-02 | 56 | Moderate | -1 |
| 2026-10-03 | 57 | Moderate | +1 |
| 2026-10-04 | 57 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-10-05 | 57 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-10-06 | 57 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-10-07 | 58 | Moderate | +1 |
| 2026-10-08 | 58 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-10-09 | 58 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-10-10 | 57 | Moderate | -1 |
| 2026-10-11 | 57 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-10-12 | 57 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-10-13 | 57 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-10-14 | 57 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-10-15 | 58 | Moderate | +1 |
| 2026-10-16 | 57 | Moderate | -1 |
| 2026-10-17 | 58 | Moderate | +1 |
| 2026-10-18 | 56 | Moderate | -2 |
| 2026-10-19 | 56 | Moderate | 0 |
| 2026-10-20 | 55 | Moderate | -1 |
| 2026-10-21 | 54 | Stable | -1 |
| 2026-10-22 | 54 | Stable | 0 |
| 2026-10-23 | 55 | Moderate | +1 |
| 2026-10-24 | 54 | Stable | -1 |
| 2026-10-25 | 52 | Stable | -2 |
| 2026-10-26 | 52 | Stable | 0 |
| 2026-10-27 | 48 | Stable | -4 |
| 2026-10-28 | 48 | Stable | 0 |
| 2026-10-29 | 52 | Stable | +4 |
| 2026-10-30 | 44 | Stable | -8 |
| 2026-10-31 | 43 | Stable | -1 |
| 2026-11-01 | 42 | Stable | -1 |
| 2026-11-02 | 44 | Stable | +2 |
| 2026-11-03 | 48 | Stable | +4 |
| 2026-11-04 | 46 | Stable | -2 |
| 2026-11-05 | 45 | Stable | -1 |
How the regional score works
Built from the roster and the world score. Each region starts from its tracked conflicts (major wars weigh most, escalating ones add more) and is blended 55/45 with the World Tension score, so a quiet region still feels a global shock. Conflicts are recognised in our own news corpus; no third-party provider is involved.
Machine-readable: /api/v1/day/{date} (field regions.asia_pacific) · all regions · conflict roster · CC BY 4.0