Live2026-11-06 04:00 UTC
Home › Regions › Africa

Africa tension today

Updated 2026-11-06 04:00 UTC
65
Moderate
-6.2 vs its 30-day average of 71.2

What this means

Active conflicts are shaping coverage and prices. Worth watching supply routes that pass through here.

Covers the Sahel, Sudan, the Horn, the Great Lakes and the Gulf of Guinea. Key driver: Sudan Civil War, Ethiopian Civil Conflict.

Tracked conflicts in this region

from our own corpus
ConflictTrendHeadlines / 30dLast activity
Sudan Civil War
Major War · since 2023		ESCALATING1182026-11-05
Ethiopian Civil Conflict
Minor War · since 2018		ACTIVE562026-11-05
Sahel Islamist Insurgency
Major War · since 2012		ESCALATING422026-11-06
Congolese Conflicts
Major War · since 1996		DORMANT152026-10-02
Somali Civil War
Major War · since 1991		DORMANT112026-09-17
Nigerian Civil Conflicts
Minor War · since 1998		DORMANT102026-09-17
Cameroonian Conflicts
Minor War · since 2016		DORMANT22026-09-17

Conflicts go dormant after 30 quiet days and retire after 120; candidates are surfaced for review on the conflicts page.

Month by month

MonthAverageLowHighZone
March 202686.68488Extreme
April 202684.47987Extreme
May 202683.37986Extreme
June 202680.07585Extreme
July 202679.27287Extreme
August 202670.06673High Tension
September 202670.96773High Tension
October 202672.57175High Tension
November 202665.06367Moderate

Last 60 days

DateScoreZoneChange
2026-09-0870High Tension
2026-09-0970High Tension0
2026-09-1070High Tension0
2026-09-1171High Tension+1
2026-09-1271High Tension0
2026-09-1371High Tension0
2026-09-1472High Tension+1
2026-09-1572High Tension0
2026-09-1672High Tension0
2026-09-1772High Tension0
2026-09-1871High Tension-1
2026-09-1970High Tension-1
2026-09-2072High Tension+2
2026-09-2172High Tension0
2026-09-2271High Tension-1
2026-09-2370High Tension-1
2026-09-2473High Tension+3
2026-09-2573High Tension0
2026-09-2672High Tension-1
2026-09-2772High Tension0
2026-09-2873High Tension+1
2026-09-2973High Tension0
2026-09-3072High Tension-1
2026-10-0172High Tension0
2026-10-0271High Tension-1
2026-10-0372High Tension+1
2026-10-0472High Tension0
2026-10-0572High Tension0
2026-10-0672High Tension0
2026-10-0772High Tension0
2026-10-0873High Tension+1
2026-10-0972High Tension-1
2026-10-1072High Tension0
2026-10-1172High Tension0
2026-10-1272High Tension0
2026-10-1372High Tension0
2026-10-1472High Tension0
2026-10-1572High Tension0
2026-10-1672High Tension0
2026-10-1772High Tension0
2026-10-1872High Tension0
2026-10-1972High Tension0
2026-10-2071High Tension-1
2026-10-2171High Tension0
2026-10-2271High Tension0
2026-10-2372High Tension+1
2026-10-2474High Tension+2
2026-10-2575High Tension+1
2026-10-2675High Tension0
2026-10-2774High Tension-1
2026-10-2874High Tension0
2026-10-2974High Tension0
2026-10-3075High Tension+1
2026-10-3174High Tension-1
2026-11-0165Moderate-9
2026-11-0263Moderate-2
2026-11-0367Moderate+4
2026-11-0465Moderate-2
2026-11-0565Moderate0
2026-11-0665Moderate0

How the regional score works

Built from the roster and the world score. Each region starts from its tracked conflicts (major wars weigh most, escalating ones add more) and is blended 55/45 with the World Tension score, so a quiet region still feels a global shock. Conflicts are recognised in our own news corpus; no third-party provider is involved.

Machine-readable: /api/v1/day/{date} (field regions.africa) · all regions · conflict roster · CC BY 4.0