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Syria Tension Score

indexed · 49 days on file

Live 0–100 tension reading for Syria, built by our own engine from 19,188 world headlines in the last 30 days. Refreshed every 10 minutes; a fresh headline count twice a day.

48
Stable
7d -7 · 30d +14

Where Syria stands

#10 of 197 countries today, #6 of 16 in Middle East (region score 78). Tension is easing this week.

Same 0–100 scale and zones as the World Tension Index.

Syria news pulse

60 headlines in 30 days · newest first
Saudi, Syrian defence ministries sign cooperation agreement, SPA reports
Al-Monitor · 5 November 2026 conflicttradegeopolitics
70 · High
New GW Research Examines What Fatality Patterns Reveal About Conflict Dynamics in Yemen and Syria | Newswise - Newswise
Google News · 5 November 2026 conflict
52 · Moderate
Syria’s undocumented children ‘pay the price’ of war and a law that shuts out mothers
UN News · 5 November 2026 conflictgeopolitics
35 · Moderate
Saudi, Syrian defence ministries sign cooperation agreement
Middle East Eye · 5 November 2026 conflicttrade
35 · Moderate
Syrians see Israel as biggest regional threat, followed by Iran: Survey
Al Jazeera · 4 November 2026 geopolitics
50 · Moderate
Israeli forces raid homes after advancing into south western Syrian town
Middle East Eye · 4 November 2026 geopolitics
35 · Moderate
Syria weighs joining the Mecca Pact, foreign minister says
Breaking Def · 4 November 2026 geopolitics
26 · Low
Meet Muzna al-Atrash, Syria's new Druze adviser for peace affairs
Al-Monitor · 3 November 2026 geopolitics
23 · Low
Years on from fall of IS, French jihadists face justice in Iraq
Al-Monitor · 2 November 2026 geopolitics
35 · Moderate
Why is Syria considering joining the Saudi-Turkey-Pakistan defence pact?
Middle East Eye · 2 November 2026 trade
20 · Low
Will Iran take up Vance lifeline to avoid another US attack?
Al-Monitor · 1 November 2026 conflictgeopolitics
40 · Moderate
Syria Weighs Joining Saudi Mutual Defense Pact as Yemen War Rages - The New York Times
GN Conflict · 1 November 2026 conflict
32 · Low
Jordan stops armed group from attempting to enter from Syria, armed forces say
Straits Times · 1 November 2026 geopolitics
23 · Low
Saudi Arabia says at least 2 suspected Houthi drones shot down over kingdom
Times Israel · 31 October 2026 conflict
32 · Low
Five children among seven dead in eastern Syria floods
Al-Monitor · 31 October 2026 geopolitics
20 · Low
Syrian curriculum changes spark debate over removal of images and historical figures
Euronews · 31 October 2026 geopolitics
20 · Low
Syrians struggle with soaring prices as crisis challenges post-Assad recovery
BBC World · 30 October 2026 tradegeopolitics
40 · Moderate
Dodging fuel price hikes, Damascus drivers turn to electric cars
Al-Monitor · 30 October 2026 conflictenergygeopolitics
35 · Moderate
US oil firm HKN aims to double Syria's output as it takes over Kurdish-run fields
Al-Monitor · 30 October 2026 energygeopolitics
23 · Low
What would a new Israeli government mean for Arab neighbors? More of the same is expected, with some small positives predicted.
DW World · 29 October 2026 conflictgeopolitics
35 · Moderate
Syria says French jihadist killed in shootout with government forces
Hindu Intl · 29 October 2026 conflictgeopolitics
35 · Moderate
Iraq's Zaidi meets Sharaa on first Syria visit: What to know
Al-Monitor · 29 October 2026 energytradegeopolitics
26 · Low
Syria, Jordan agree to mend ties after deadly strike
Al-Monitor · 28 October 2026 conflictgeopolitics
65 · High
'Unacceptable violation': Syria condemns Jordan airstrikes
Euronews · 28 October 2026 conflictgeopolitics
59 · High
Syria condemns deadly Jordan strikes as ‘unacceptable violation’
Hindu Intl · 28 October 2026 conflictgeopolitics
53 · Moderate
Syria reopens Jordan border crossing after mending ties
Al-Monitor · 28 October 2026 conflictgeopolitics
53 · Moderate
Jordan, Syria to form security committee after deadly strikes on Islamic State sites
Al-Monitor · 28 October 2026 conflictgeopolitics
47 · Moderate
Lebanese and Syrians expect no change in Israeli policy after election
Al Jazeera · 28 October 2026 geopolitics
37 · Moderate
American woman convicted of getting military training from Islamic State
Al-Monitor · 28 October 2026 geopolitics
35 · Moderate
Jordan launches airstrikes in Syria after church attack
France24 · 27 October 2026 conflictgeopolitics
71 · High

Every story the engine read that names Syria, its capital or its leaders. Links go to the original outlet; the badge is the engine’s own 0–100 tension weight. This list is what moves the number above.

What is driving Syria’s tension score

last 30 days
  • 95 headlines in 30 days — 0.5% of everything the engine read, in line with the previous 30 days (70).
  • 59% of those were violent (attacks, strikes, casualties) and 51% scored as high-tension stories.
  • Conflicts on the roster: Syrian Conflict (escalating), Kurdish Nationalist Conflicts (escalating).
  • Region: Middle East reads 78 today; it carries 15% of this score.

Read it like this. Attention (how much the world is talking about Syria) is the biggest input at 30%. Violence and high-tension share tell you what kind of talk it is. A country can be loud and calm — an election, a summit — or quiet and dangerous. The mix is the point.

Syria tension month by month

average score, headline counts
MonthAvg scoreZoneHeadlinesViolentDays
November 202649.4Stable1695
October 202642.8Stable965131
September 202632.2Calm532113

Record for Syria began on 18 September 2026. Nothing is revised after the fact.

How the Syria score is built

Five inputs, fixed weights. Attention 30% (share of world coverage), violence 25% and high-tension share 15% (what kind of coverage), roster conflicts 15%, and the Middle East region score 15%. A momentum nudge (+6 / −4) rewards a country whose coverage is accelerating or fading.

Same physics as the world score. The number rises 85% of the way to its new level at once and falls no faster than 3 points a day — fear arrives fast and leaves slowly.

No third-party index inside. Every count comes from the 41 public news feeds our engine reads itself; the full method is on the methodology page. Data is free under CC BY 4.0 via the API.

Questions people ask about Syria

Is Syria in a war right now?

Yes, by our roster: Syrian Conflict, Kurdish Nationalist Conflicts. Status is updated on every full cycle.

Is tension in Syria rising or falling?

Easing: down 7 points in 7 days.

How does Syria compare with the rest of Middle East?

Below its region: Syria reads 48 against 78 for Middle East, ranking #6 of 16 there.

Keep exploring

Syria and world tension: the long view

evergreen · World Tension Meter team

A war that reshaped the region. Syria’s civil war drew in Russia, Iran, Turkey, the United States and Israel. Whatever government sits in Damascus, the borders with Israel, Lebanon, Iraq and Turkey remain live fault lines.

Reconstruction is the next story. Sanctions relief, refugees returning and who pays to rebuild decide whether the score falls for good. The engine reads those as calming signals when they are real.

What our engine watches in Syria

  • Israeli strikes and border clashes
  • Sanctions relief and reconstruction money
  • Kurdish, Turkish and militia fighting in the north and east

Indexes to follow: Sanctions Pressure · Energy Security.