Supply Chain Risk Index — April 2026: 55.8

The Supply Chain Risk Index recorded an average score of 55.8 for the month of April, starting with a peak score of 63 on April 5th. Tensions were driven up by several top risks, including a helium shortage threatening AI chips due to Iran war disruption and a Middle East conflict choking supply chains in the Pacific. Further pressure came from the Bitwarden CLI and Axios supply chain attacks, alongside Amazon adding a 3.5% fuel and logistics surcharge for sellers as energy prices rose. Friction eased mid-month after Gartner forecasted Agentic AI supply chain software spend to reach $53 billion by 2030, dropping the index to its lowest point of 50 on April 19th. Risk levels pushed back up later in the month following the Bitwarden attack details and a national student case competition, ending the month with renewed upward momentum.

Scores in this month were computed by the first-generation engine (v1).

Peak 63 on 2026-04-05 · low 50 on 2026-04-19 · locked record · · Supply Chain Risk Index timeline · May → · World Tension, same month

• Helium Shortage Threatens AI Chips Amid Iran War Disruption MarketWise · 2026-04-16
• The Bitwarden CLI Supply Chain Attack: What Happened and What to Do | Blog Endor Labs · 2026-04-23
• Middle East conflict chokes end of supply chain as lights go out in the Pacific UN News · 2026-04-15
• Threat Brief: Widespread Impact of the Axios Supply Chain Attack Unit 42 · 2026-04-01
• Amazon to add 3.5% fuel and logistics surcharge for sellers as Iran war drives up energy prices CNBC · 2026-04-02
• Critical skilled trades shortage threatens $1T in economic losses JLL · 2026-04-21
• Middle East conflict causes a fluoride shortage for US drinking water npr.org · 2026-04-15
• The Iran war created a global natural gas shortage — a windfall for U.S. companies npr.org · 2026-04-14