Energy Security Index — October 2026: 50.7

The Energy Security Index had a relatively stable October 2026, averaging 50.7 for the month after starting at its lowest point of 50 on October 1. Tensions pushed upward right away, peaking at 51 on October 2 when oil jumped 4% following reports that China halted fuel exports and U.S. troops headed to the Middle East. Risk remained elevated throughout the month due to potential U.S.-Iran war escalations, Middle East energy supply disruptions, and ongoing drone attacks on Russian oil refineries. On the calming side, long-term market stability received a boost when ConocoPhillips signed a 20-year LNG deal with Venture Global. Overall, the index stayed in a narrow range and ended the month near its average level.

Peak 51 on 2026-10-02 · low 50 on 2026-10-01 · live month, refreshes daily · ← September · Energy Security Index timeline · · World Tension, same month

• Oil jumps 4% on reports China halts fuel exports, US troops head to Middle East Reuters · 2026-10-01
• Crude Oil Prices Surge on Possible Escalation of US-Iran War Barchart.com · 2026-10-01
• Alternative Routes for Middle East Oil and Gas Due to Hormuz Disruption EnergyNow.com · 2026-10-01
• Drones attack Russia's Volgograd: fires reported near oil refinery and chemical plant – video Українська правда · 2026-10-02
• Ukraine persists with Russian oil refinery strikes in defiance of Trump The Guardian · 2026-10-01
• Ukraine Attacks Key Russian Refinery and Oil Pipeline Hub Bloomberg.com · 2026-10-02
• PM warned Rosebank oil field could breach West Bank sanctions BBC Business · 2026-10-02
• Crude oil exports from strait of Hormuz largely return to pre-war levels The Guardian · 2026-10-01

• ConocoPhillips Signs 20-Year LNG Deal With Venture Global