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Ethiopia Tension Score

indexed · 49 days on file

Live 0–100 tension reading for Ethiopia, built by our own engine from 19,188 world headlines in the last 30 days. Refreshed every 10 minutes; a fresh headline count twice a day.

35
Calm
7d -13 · 30d -6

Where Ethiopia stands

#24 of 197 countries today, #4 of 53 in Africa (region score 64). Tension is easing this week.

Same 0–100 scale and zones as the World Tension Index.

Ethiopia news pulse

60 headlines in 30 days · newest first
South Africans vote in key municipal elections
France24 · 5 November 2026 conflictgeopolitics
68 · High
Sudan, Ethiopia order tit-for-tat diplomatic expulsions
Al Jazeera · 5 November 2026 conflict
46 · Moderate
US contractor admits passing US top-secret information to Ethiopia
ABC Intl · 5 November 2026 geopolitics
32 · Low
Ethiopia expels 6 Sudanese consular staff and orders consulate closed, officials say
ABC Intl · 5 November 2026 geopolitics
20 · Low
Sudan says it downed drone from Ethiopia, files complaint with UN
Al-Monitor · 4 November 2026 conflictgeopolitics
47 · Moderate
US contractor gave Ethiopia secrets to help kill Tigray fighters
BBC World · 4 November 2026 geopolitics
44 · Moderate
UN recognizes ongoing restoration work inside Ethiopia’s Desa’a forest amid conflict - news - Mongabay
Google News · 4 November 2026 conflictgeopolitics
38 · Moderate
Ethiopia expands hydropower ambitions
France24 · 4 November 2026 energytradegeopolitics
32 · Low
Ethiopia expels Sudanese diplomats after fresh allegations of support for RSF
Straits Times · 4 November 2026 tradegeopolitics
23 · Low
The Red Sea Chokehold: Why Maritime Access Is an Existential Question for Ethiopia - horn review
GN Trade · 4 November 2026 geopolitics
20 · Low
Ethiopia: Violence in the north is pushing health system to the brink, WHO chief warns
UN News · 3 November 2026 conflict
68 · High
Deadly RSF drone attacks reveal deep divisions between Sudan and Ethiopia
Al Jazeera · 3 November 2026 conflictgeopolitics
60 · High
Ethiopia-Eritrea Conflict Could Open a Second Red Sea Front - Small Wars Journal
Google News · 3 November 2026 conflict
57 · High
Ethiopia attacks kill civilians as health system nears collapse, WHO chief says
ABC Intl · 3 November 2026 conflicttrade
38 · Moderate
Sudan files complaints against Ethiopia with UN over deadly drone spree
Al Jazeera · 2 November 2026 conflictgeopolitics
63 · High
Will renewed conflict derail Ethiopia's economic growth? - DW.com
Google News · 2 November 2026 conflict
32 · Low
Will renewed conflict derail Ethiopia's economic growth?
DW World · 2 November 2026 conflict
32 · Low
Ethiopian PM puts ministers through military training
BBC World · 1 November 2026 geopolitics
32 · Low
Sporadic gunfire sends Ethiopians fleeing into Kenya as trucks remain stuck at border
ABC Intl · 31 October 2026 geopolitics
23 · Low
The Red Sea Chokehold: Why Maritime Access Is an Existential Question for Ethiopia - horn review
GN Trade · 31 October 2026 geopolitics
20 · Low
At least 60 Christians killed in Ethiopia amid rising religious violence
France24 · 30 October 2026 conflictgeopolitics
47 · Moderate
Drone strikes kill 14, including children, in Ethiopia's Amhara: witnesses
Hindu Intl · 30 October 2026 conflictgeopolitics
47 · Moderate
Ethiopia acquires Russian fighter jets and air defence systems amid war in Tigray
BBC World · 29 October 2026 conflictgeopolitics
61 · High
Ethiopia clashes push 50,000 to flee to Kenya
France24 · 29 October 2026 geopolitics
23 · Low
Attacks kill at least 60 Orthodox Christians in Ethiopia, church says
ABC Intl · 28 October 2026 conflicttrade
44 · Moderate
World News in Brief: Ethiopians flee to Kenya amidst renewed conflict, new head of UN’s food programme, UN mission in Somalia concludes
UN News · 28 October 2026 conflictgeopolitics
35 · Moderate
Number of people fleeing Ethiopia into Kenya rises to 36,000 as local leaders appeal for support
ABC Intl · 28 October 2026 tradegeopolitics
23 · Low
More than 60 Christians killed in Ethiopia 'massacre', church official says
BBC World · 27 October 2026 conflictgeopolitics
50 · Moderate
From the Western Wall to Tel Aviv bars, candidates give last push ahead of election
Times Israel · 27 October 2026 geopolitics
26 · Low
Tigray rebels urged to disarm as commander vows to fight Ethiopia’s gov’t
Al Jazeera · 24 October 2026 geopolitics
50 · Moderate

Every story the engine read that names Ethiopia, its capital or its leaders. Links go to the original outlet; the badge is the engine’s own 0–100 tension weight. This list is what moves the number above.

What is driving Ethiopia’s tension score

last 30 days
  • 110 headlines in 30 days — 0.57% of everything the engine read, in line with the previous 30 days (129).
  • 43% of those were violent (attacks, strikes, casualties) and 54% scored as high-tension stories.
  • Conflicts on the roster: Ethiopian Civil Conflict (active).
  • Region: Africa reads 64 today; it carries 15% of this score.

Read it like this. Attention (how much the world is talking about Ethiopia) is the biggest input at 30%. Violence and high-tension share tell you what kind of talk it is. A country can be loud and calm — an election, a summit — or quiet and dangerous. The mix is the point.

Ethiopia tension month by month

average score, headline counts
MonthAvg scoreZoneHeadlinesViolentDays
November 202638.6Calm2875
October 202644.2Stable1375931
September 202631.5Calm744213

Record for Ethiopia began on 18 September 2026. Nothing is revised after the fact.

How the Ethiopia score is built

Five inputs, fixed weights. Attention 30% (share of world coverage), violence 25% and high-tension share 15% (what kind of coverage), roster conflicts 15%, and the Africa region score 15%. A momentum nudge (+6 / −4) rewards a country whose coverage is accelerating or fading.

Same physics as the world score. The number rises 85% of the way to its new level at once and falls no faster than 3 points a day — fear arrives fast and leaves slowly.

No third-party index inside. Every count comes from the 41 public news feeds our engine reads itself; the full method is on the methodology page. Data is free under CC BY 4.0 via the API.

Questions people ask about Ethiopia

Is Ethiopia in a war right now?

Yes, by our roster: Ethiopian Civil Conflict. Status is updated on every full cycle.

Is tension in Ethiopia rising or falling?

Easing: down 13 points in 7 days.

How does Ethiopia compare with the rest of Africa?

Below its region: Ethiopia reads 35 against 64 for Africa, ranking #4 of 53 there.

Keep exploring

Ethiopia and world tension: the long view

evergreen · World Tension Meter team

Africa’s second-most populous state, rarely at peace. Ethiopia has fought a civil war in Tigray and insurgencies in Amhara and Oromia. Its quarrel with Egypt over the Nile dam and its push for a Red Sea port put it in every Horn of Africa headline.

What our engine watches in Ethiopia

  • Fighting in Amhara, Oromia and Tigray
  • Nile dam talks with Egypt
  • Sea-access deals and Eritrea tension

Indexes to follow: Food Security.