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Somalia Tension Score

building record · 49 days on file

Live 0–100 tension reading for Somalia, built by our own engine from 19,188 world headlines in the last 30 days. Refreshed every 10 minutes; a fresh headline count twice a day.

36
Calm
7d -6 · 30d +7

Where Somalia stands

#22 of 197 countries today, #3 of 53 in Africa (region score 64). Tension is easing this week.

Same 0–100 scale and zones as the World Tension Index.

Somalia news pulse

31 headlines in 30 days · newest first
Indian navy rescues 20 crew from Iranian fishing boat hijacked off Somalia
NPR World · 4 November 2026 conflictgeopolitics
52 · Moderate
Uganda withdraws its troops from Somalia as fight against rebels persists
France24 · 3 November 2026 conflictgeopolitics
47 · Moderate
Uganda withdrawing troops from peacekeeping mission in Somalia
France24 · 3 November 2026 conflictgeopolitics
38 · Moderate
Uganda begins withdrawing peacekeeping troops that helped repel militants in Somalia
ABC Intl · 3 November 2026 conflictgeopolitics
35 · Moderate
Uganda begins withdrawing troops from Somalia after 20 years
BBC World · 2 November 2026 conflictgeopolitics
44 · Moderate
Somali pirates seize Iranian fishing vessel, raising fears of attacks on cargo ships
ABC Intl · 2 November 2026 conflicttradegeopolitics
40 · Moderate
Uganda says it has started withdrawing troops from Somalia
Straits Times · 2 November 2026 conflictgeopolitics
35 · Moderate
UN ends its Somalia political mission after three decades
Hindu Intl · 1 November 2026 conflicttradegeopolitics
35 · Moderate
UN closes Somalia mission, ending three decades of political engagement
Al Jazeera · 31 October 2026 tradegeopolitics
29 · Low
Somalia looks to the future as the UN's political mission closes
UN News · 31 October 2026 geopolitics
23 · Low
Somali piracy is back as the US-Iran war rattles shipping - CNN
GN Conflict · 30 October 2026 conflicttradegeopolitics
40 · Moderate
Somalia: Lower house of parliament passes bill on sexual violence
France24 · 29 October 2026 geopolitics
23 · Low
Islamic militants kill at least 20 Somali soldiers in ambush, officer says
ABC Intl · 28 October 2026 conflictgeopolitics
47 · Moderate
World News in Brief: Ethiopians flee to Kenya amidst renewed conflict, new head of UN’s food programme, UN mission in Somalia concludes
UN News · 28 October 2026 conflictgeopolitics
35 · Moderate
World News in Brief: Ethiopians flee to Kenya amidst renewed conflict, new head of UN’s food programme, UN mission in Somalia concludes - UN News
Google News · 27 October 2026 conflictgeopolitics
35 · Moderate
Dozens of Somali soldiers killed in battle with al Shabaab, soldiers say
Straits Times · 27 October 2026 conflictgeopolitics
32 · Low
US forces accused of ‘weaponising’ Somalia’s floods by trapping women and children in the path of El Niño
Guardian · 26 October 2026 conflictgeopolitics
55 · High
Hundreds of Ethiopians cross into Kenya to flee regional fighting
Al Jazeera · 23 October 2026 geopolitics
39 · Moderate
After years of drought, flooding could now push parts of Somalia toward famine - Care.org
GN Food · 23 October 2026 conflict
32 · Low
UN warns El Nino could be strongest on record as it urges world to prepare
Euronews · 22 October 2026 conflictgeopolitics
35 · Moderate
Trump: Ilhan Omar could be deported, slams Somalia as a ‘s—house’
Al Jazeera · 21 October 2026 tradefinance
32 · Low
Red Sea Shipping Under Threat: Tanker Hit by Unknown Projectile Off Saudi Coast - FTL Somalia
GN Trade · 17 October 2026 energytradegeopolitics
29 · Low
Somalia says it will hold elections in 2027
Al Jazeera · 16 October 2026 conflictgeopolitics
27 · Low
Celebrations in Somaliland after Trump calls it ‘totally different country’ from Somalia
Times Israel · 15 October 2026 geopolitics
23 · Low
Trump says Somaliland is its own country, but should change its name
Middle East Eye · 14 October 2026 geopolitics
23 · Low
Abdi-Wali makes history as first Somali-born refugee in UK Parliament
Al Jazeera · 13 October 2026 geopolitics
20 · Low
Mother's 3-day walk with sick daughter highlights Somalia's child malnutrition emergency
ABC Intl · 13 October 2026 geopolitics
20 · Low
In Somalia, war cuts off aid for entire populations threatened by famine - Le Monde.fr
GN Food · 10 October 2026 conflict
38 · Moderate
Famine risk rises in Somalia as effects of USAID cuts spread - NBC News
GN Food · 10 October 2026 geopolitics
20 · Low
<a href='https://news.sky.com/video/nurses-work-for-free-as-aid-budgets-slashed-and-medicine-running-out-13596310'>A small pot of rice to feed a family of 17: H
Sky World · 8 October 2026 geopolitics
26 · Low

Every story the engine read that names Somalia, its capital or its leaders. Links go to the original outlet; the badge is the engine’s own 0–100 tension weight. This list is what moves the number above.

What is driving Somalia’s tension score

last 30 days
  • 42 headlines in 30 days — 0.22% of everything the engine read, in line with the previous 30 days (29).
  • 50% of those were violent (attacks, strikes, casualties) and 36% scored as high-tension stories.
  • Conflicts on the roster: Somali Civil War (dormant).
  • Region: Africa reads 64 today; it carries 15% of this score.

Read it like this. Attention (how much the world is talking about Somalia) is the biggest input at 30%. Violence and high-tension share tell you what kind of talk it is. A country can be loud and calm — an election, a summit — or quiet and dangerous. The mix is the point.

Somalia tension month by month

average score, headline counts
MonthAvg scoreZoneHeadlinesViolentDays
November 202638.4Calm1265
October 202632.2Calm402131
September 202619.5Calm19313

Record for Somalia began on 18 September 2026. Nothing is revised after the fact.

How the Somalia score is built

Five inputs, fixed weights. Attention 30% (share of world coverage), violence 25% and high-tension share 15% (what kind of coverage), roster conflicts 15%, and the Africa region score 15%. A momentum nudge (+6 / −4) rewards a country whose coverage is accelerating or fading.

Same physics as the world score. The number rises 85% of the way to its new level at once and falls no faster than 3 points a day — fear arrives fast and leaves slowly.

No third-party index inside. Every count comes from the 41 public news feeds our engine reads itself; the full method is on the methodology page. Data is free under CC BY 4.0 via the API.

Questions people ask about Somalia

Is Somalia in a war right now?

Yes, by our roster: Somali Civil War. Status is updated on every full cycle.

Is tension in Somalia rising or falling?

Easing: down 6 points in 7 days.

How does Somalia compare with the rest of Africa?

Below its region: Somalia reads 36 against 64 for Africa, ranking #3 of 53 there.

Keep exploring

Somalia and world tension: the long view

evergreen · World Tension Meter team

Al-Shabaab and the sea lanes. Somalia’s insurgency has run for nearly two decades, and its coast borders the shipping route Houthi attacks pushed ships towards. Piracy returns when the navy patrols leave.

What our engine watches in Somalia

  • Al-Shabaab attacks and offensives
  • Piracy incidents
  • Somaliland recognition and Ethiopian port deals

Indexes to follow: Shipping Stress.