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Nigeria Tension Score

indexed · 49 days on file

Live 0–100 tension reading for Nigeria, built by our own engine from 19,188 world headlines in the last 30 days. Refreshed every 10 minutes; a fresh headline count twice a day.

31
Calm
7d -2 · 30d +3

Where Nigeria stands

#35 of 197 countries today, #6 of 53 in Africa (region score 64). Tension is steady this week.

Same 0–100 scale and zones as the World Tension Index.

Nigeria news pulse

60 headlines in 30 days · newest first
Nigeria state police bill clears constitutional hurdle after 28 states approve
Straits Times · 4 November 2026 geopolitics
20 · Low
Attackers ambush police in Nigeria's Zamfara, killing at least eight, officials say
Straits Times · 3 November 2026 conflict
44 · Moderate
Nigeria reports two suspected Ebola cases in northeast region
Straits Times · 1 November 2026 tradegeopolitics
23 · Low
Health authorities probe two suspected Ebola cases in northeast Nigeria
Al Jazeera · 1 November 2026 geopolitics
20 · Low
Investors Are Piling Into Dangote. But Is the Price Right?
OilPrice · 30 October 2026 energygeopolitics
23 · Low
Nigerian families and survivors seek justice over miners' deaths
Straits Times · 30 October 2026 geopolitics
20 · Low
Russia woos African leaders at Moscow summit
France24 · 29 October 2026 geopolitics
34 · Low
At least 62 killed and thousands displaced in gunmen attack in Nigeria
Sky World · 28 October 2026 conflictgeopolitics
47 · Moderate
At least 62 people killed in attack on a community in northeastern Nigeria
ABC Intl · 28 October 2026 conflictgeopolitics
47 · Moderate
AU Special Envoy Launches Learning Beyond Conflict Campaign in Nigeria, Advancing Education and Dignity for Children Affected by Armed Conflict-African Union -
Google News · 28 October 2026 conflictgeopolitics
38 · Moderate
Controversial Islamic cleric shot dead in northern Nigeria
BBC World · 28 October 2026 geopolitics
26 · Low
Panel finds that 37 suspected illegal miners suffocated in overcrowded cell in Nigeria
ABC Intl · 28 October 2026 geopolitics
23 · Low
Deaths in detention cells in Nigeria were entirely preventable, inquiry finds
BBC World · 28 October 2026 geopolitics
20 · Low
‘Cruel’ jail conditions caused dozens of Nigerian miners to suffocate: probe
Hindu Intl · 28 October 2026 finance
20 · Low
Woman treated for Ebola in Nigeria is evacuated to Switzerland
Sky World · 27 October 2026 geopolitics
20 · Low
Swiss Ebola patient in Nigeria evacuated to Switzerland
ABC Intl · 27 October 2026 geopolitics
20 · Low
Uganda orders 21-day Ebola quarantine for citizens returning from DR Congo
Al Jazeera · 26 October 2026 geopolitics
24 · Low
Nigeria's Ebola patient on medical evacuation flight to Switzerland, condition stable
Straits Times · 26 October 2026 geopolitics
23 · Low
Ebola scientists to probe origin of Nigeria case, Africa CDC says
Straits Times · 26 October 2026 trade
20 · Low
Gunmen kill at least 10 villagers and loot shops in north-east Nigeria
BBC World · 25 October 2026 conflictgeopolitics
49 · Moderate
Gunmen kill at least 40 people in northeastern Nigeria, Amnesty International says
Straits Times · 25 October 2026 conflictgeopolitics
47 · Moderate
Gunmen kill at least 10 people in eastern Nigeria, police say
Al Jazeera · 25 October 2026 conflictgeopolitics
44 · Moderate
Nigerian president launches reelection bid during a cost-of-living crisis and a fractured opposition
ABC Intl · 25 October 2026 geopolitics
32 · Low
Nigeria's Tinubu launches re-election campaign as economic pain tests support
Straits Times · 25 October 2026 tradegeopolitics
32 · Low
Mystery over source of Ebola infection in Nigeria fuels concern about spread of virus
Guardian · 24 October 2026 energy
35 · Moderate
Uganda says it has no active Ebola cases, but infections in Kenya and Nigeria are prompting fresh scrutiny
DW World · 24 October 2026 conflicttradegeopolitics
35 · Moderate
Authorities investigating whether first Kenya and Nigeria Ebola cases crossed paths
NPR World · 24 October 2026 geopolitics
23 · Low
AKAA art and design fair brings African artists to Paris
France24 · 24 October 2026 geopolitics
23 · Low
Nigeria Ebola case linked to virus found in Kenya index case, health minister says
Straits Times · 24 October 2026 geopolitics
23 · Low
WHO warns ‘more complex’ Ebola outbreak now present in 3 African countries
Al Jazeera · 23 October 2026 conflictgeopolitics
35 · Moderate

Every story the engine read that names Nigeria, its capital or its leaders. Links go to the original outlet; the badge is the engine’s own 0–100 tension weight. This list is what moves the number above.

What is driving Nigeria’s tension score

last 30 days
  • 83 headlines in 30 days — 0.43% of everything the engine read, up sharply on the previous 30 days (37).
  • 25% of those were violent (attacks, strikes, casualties) and 16% scored as high-tension stories.
  • Conflicts on the roster: Nigerian Civil Conflicts (dormant).
  • Region: Africa reads 64 today; it carries 15% of this score.

Read it like this. Attention (how much the world is talking about Nigeria) is the biggest input at 30%. Violence and high-tension share tell you what kind of talk it is. A country can be loud and calm — an election, a summit — or quiet and dangerous. The mix is the point.

Nigeria tension month by month

average score, headline counts
MonthAvg scoreZoneHeadlinesViolentDays
November 202631.2Calm415
October 202630.5Calm842331
September 202628.6Calm32913

Record for Nigeria began on 18 September 2026. Nothing is revised after the fact.

How the Nigeria score is built

Five inputs, fixed weights. Attention 30% (share of world coverage), violence 25% and high-tension share 15% (what kind of coverage), roster conflicts 15%, and the Africa region score 15%. A momentum nudge (+6 / −4) rewards a country whose coverage is accelerating or fading.

Same physics as the world score. The number rises 85% of the way to its new level at once and falls no faster than 3 points a day — fear arrives fast and leaves slowly.

No third-party index inside. Every count comes from the 41 public news feeds our engine reads itself; the full method is on the methodology page. Data is free under CC BY 4.0 via the API.

Questions people ask about Nigeria

Is Nigeria in a war right now?

Yes, by our roster: Nigerian Civil Conflicts. Status is updated on every full cycle.

Is tension in Nigeria rising or falling?

Easing: down 2 points in 7 days.

How does Nigeria compare with the rest of Africa?

Below its region: Nigeria reads 31 against 64 for Africa, ranking #6 of 53 there.

Keep exploring

Nigeria and world tension: the long view

evergreen · World Tension Meter team

Africa’s giant. Nigeria has the continent’s largest population and one of its largest oil industries. Boko Haram in the north-east, bandits in the north-west and separatists in the south-east keep three conflicts running at once.

Oil theft and the naira. Pipeline sabotage and currency devaluations are economic tension headlines that arrive as often as security ones.

What our engine watches in Nigeria

  • Insurgent and bandit attacks
  • Oil output and pipeline sabotage
  • Naira moves and fuel-subsidy protests

Indexes to follow: Energy Security · Currency Stress.